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Three Possibilities for the War in Ukraine in 2023
In the end, as in any war, the most important factor in the future course of the Ukraine conflict will be what happens on the battlefield. There are essentially three possibilities, though each of...
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After the Tanks and Then Warplanes, What's Next in Ukraine?
Immediately after the United States and Germany announced that they are sending main battle tanks to Ukraine — immediately, without any pretense of a decent interval — the Ukrainian government, backed...
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Raids in Belgorod by Alleged Russian Paramilitary Units Should Be a Wakeup...
The raid by alleged Russian opposition paramilitaries from Ukraine into the Russian province of Belgorod should be an alarm call for the Biden administration concerning the difficulty of controlling...
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Is It Possible Putin Emerges Even Stronger After Aborted Wagner Revolt?
President Putin has emerged strengthened from whatever it was exactly that may or may not have happened in Russia this weekend; strengthened, that is, compared to his situation of ten days ago – which...
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Why the NATO Summit in Vilnius Matters
On the eve of the NATO summit in Vilnius, the strong indication was that the U.S., German, and French governments would lead NATO in continuing a somewhat intensified version of existing policy...
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US Experience in Afghanistan Offers Lessons for Ukraine, if Leaders Will Heed...
On the second anniversary of the final debacle of U.S. involvement in Afghanistan, we should consider the lessons of that disaster for U.S. strategy elsewhere.While the case of Afghanistan itself is...
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The US Has Only Been 'Indispensible' in Creating Instability
In his recent address concerning the wars in Gaza and Ukraine and U.S. involvement in both, President Biden quoted the famous line by former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, that America is “the...
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The World Needs US Diplomacy, Not US Primacy
The catastrophe in Israel and Gaza demonstrates yet again the truth of a remark by British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan when asked about the greatest challenge for a statesman: “Events, dear boy,...
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Joe Biden Is Right—Ukraine Has Already Won Against Russia
In his press conference with President Zelensky on Tuesday evening, President Biden made one statement that was both entirely true, and is the potential basis for a new U.S. approach to the conflict...
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Finland vs. Stalin and a Possible Endgame for Ukraine
As public support for Ukraine has waned over time, and Washington’s policy elites are shifting their focus more toward the conflict in Gaza, an endgame for Ukraine is desperately needed. U.S. and...
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Firing of Top General Speaks to Desperation Within Ukraine's Ranks
President Volodymyr Zelensky’s dismissal of the Ukrainian army chief, General Valery Zaluzhny, is a colossal political gamble for Zelensky and seems to indicate an increasing mood of desperation in...
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Absurd Russian and Ukrainian Demands Can Still Be a Starting Point for Peace
The international community has before it two official proposals—Ukrainian and Russian—for a peace settlement to end the war in Ukraine. Both as they stand, and in present circumstances, are absurd....
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Where Is the Biden Plan to End the War in Ukraine?
Almost 100 days have now passed since the Congress passed $61 billion in emergency funding for Ukraine, a measure that included a condition that required the Biden Administration to present to the...
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When Oh When—and How—Will the War in Ukraine End?
Some Western supporters of Ukraine have been presenting the Ukrainian incursion into the Russian province of Kursk as a great victory that will significantly change the course and outcome of the war....
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